📉 Borrowing Costs on the Decline: What’s Fueling the Trend?
1. Fed Holds Steady — Markets Bet on Soon to Come Cuts
• As of July 1, 2025, the Fed paused the federal funds rate at 4.25%–4.50%—the fourth consecutive hold—but shifted its dot-plot and commentary to now signal three anticipated cuts by the end of the year, rather than a single cut (investopedia.com, tradingeconomics.com).
• Major Wall Street forecasters are following suit:
o Goldman Sachs expects three 25 bp rate cuts (likely in Sept, Oct, Dec) (reuters.com).
o Morningstar sees a cumulative 50 bp cut in 2025, with more in 2026 (morningstar.com).
o Deloitte predicts the first 25 bp cut in Q4 2025 and steady easing into 2026 (deloitte.com).
2. Inflation & Labour Signals Cooling
• Inflation remains stubborn—above the Fed’s 2% target—but appears to be moderating, especially on core services and shelter costs (nypost.com).
• Early signs of softening in the labor market (weaker job growth, rising unemployment) have stirred concerns about the economy overheating (investors.com).
3. Internal Fed Division: Hawkish vs. Dovish
• While Chair Powell remains cautious—warning of tariff-driven inflation and sticking close to data (investopedia.com)—other Fed leaders like Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman are openly advocating for earlier cuts, even as soon as July (marketwatch.com).
• Split votes in recent meetings reflect this dual narrative shaping cut expectations.
4. Bond Market & ZLB Considerations
• A joint paper by the NY and San Francisco Fed highlights the increasing,* albeit slim,* risk of hitting the zero lower bound in the coming years—signaling room for forward movement in cuts (reuters.com).
• Meanwhile, bond yields (e.g., 10 year Treasury) have cooled from April highs, helping push down mortgage and other long-term rates (en.wikipedia.org).
5. Market Expectations & Political Pressures
• Futures markets now price in a > 50% chance of three cuts by year-end, up from just 30% a week ago (marketwatch.com).
• Politically, dovish voices are increasing:
o Treasury Secretary Bessent sees a potential September cut if tariffs do not inflate prices (reuters.com).
o Former President Trump is urging aggressive easing, promising a new, dovish Fed chair candidate (businessinsider.com).
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Why This Matters: 3 Real World Impacts
Stakeholder What It Means
Homebuyers & homeowners Mortgage rates inch down; more manageable monthly payments if cuts come in Sept–Dec .
Consumers & Businesses Cheaper credit supports spending, lending, and investment—helping fragile parts of the economy.
Markets Stocks—especially tech and housing—benefit, while bonds rally (prices rise as yields fall) .
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🏁 Looking Ahead: A Tighter Timeline
• September emerges as the most likely kick-off, per CME FedWatch tool and Goldman Sachs (investopedia.com).
• Some argue for a surprise in July, but the Fed is currently signaling caution, influenced by tariffs and inflation trends (nypost.com).
• December remains a conservative baseline, but market confidence is rising.
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Final Thoughts
While no cuts have yet occurred, the shift in sentiment—from “higher for longer” to genuine easing expectations by year-end—is unmistakable. With inflation easing, labor data softening, internal Fed divisions growing, and markets pricing in upcoming cuts, 2025 appears poised to mark a turning point for interest rates.
Whether you’re considering refinancing your mortgage, investing, or planning budget forecasts, preparing for lower rates later this year is wise.
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• marketwatch.com
• investors.com
• reuters.com
• nypost.com https://investopedia.com

If you’re planning a home upgrade—whether it’s a kitchen remodel, basement conversion, or a complete overhaul—a renovation loan could help you get the job done without draining your savings. These loans come in many forms, including home equity loans, personal loans, cash-out refinancing, and government-backed renovation mortgages. The right choice depends on your current equity, credit score, and the scope of your project.

Home renovation loans work by providing funds specifically for improving or repairing your home. Some allow you to roll renovation costs into your mortgage when purchasing a fixer-upper, while others give you access to equity you’ve already built in your current home. Popular options include the FHA 203(k), Fannie Mae HomeStyle, and Freddie Mac CHOICERenovation loans. For smaller or unsecured projects, personal loans may be the fastest and easiest solution.

Not every loan fits every project, so it’s important to understand when borrowing makes the most sense. If your renovation is urgent—like fixing structural damage—or if it significantly boosts your home’s market value, taking out a loan could be a wise investment. However, always be realistic about your budget, timeline, and how much value the improvements will truly add to your home.

If you’re considering a renovation mortgage – schedule a consultation with us on our website and we can crunch the numbers with you to see whether it makes sense and what fits your needs

Before you can shop for a home with confidence, it’s smart to get preapproved for a mortgage. Preapproval gives you a clear idea of how much a lender is likely to offer based on your financial profile. To make that determination, lenders will need to verify several aspects of your financial situation—including your income, assets, debts, and credit history. Having all your documents ready can make the process faster and smoother.

One of the first things your lender will look at is your employment and income. Expect to provide pay stubs from the past 30 days, W-2s and tax returns from the last two years, and recent bank statements. If you’re self-employed, you’ll need to provide additional documentation, such as business tax returns or profit and loss statements. Other sources of income like child support, Social Security, or pension payments should also be documented.

Lenders will also evaluate your assets and debts to get a complete picture of your financial health. You’ll need to submit account statements for retirement savings, investments, and any additional real estate you own. At the same time, you’ll provide recent statements for your outstanding debts—auto loans, credit cards, student loans, and more. This information helps calculate your debt-to-income ratio, a key factor in determining how much house you can afford.

Don’t forget identification and any situation-specific paperwork. You’ll need to provide a government-issued ID and Social Security card, and if someone is gifting you part of your down payment, you’ll need a gift letter as well. Buyers using VA loan benefits will need to include a Certificate of Eligibility. With all your documents in hand, you’ll be better positioned to secure preapproval and confidently move forward in your homebuying journey. Of course if you are thinking about getting preapproved fill out our 90 second prequalifier on our website and we will get the ball rolling!

Closing on a home is an exciting milestone, but it’s also a process that involves a lot of moving parts. From the time your offer is accepted to the moment you get your keys, there are several steps that must be completed by both you and your lender. While the process can take several weeks, proper preparation can help things go more smoothly and reduce the chances of delays along the way.

Once you reach closing day, you’ll finalize the purchase by signing a series of documents, paying any remaining closing costs, and receiving the keys to your new home. You may be joined by your real estate agent, the seller, a closing agent, and potentially an attorney. The documents you’ll review include your closing disclosure, loan agreement, mortgage note, and more. It’s important to review everything carefully, and don’t hesitate to ask for clarification if something doesn’t make sense.

Leading up to closing, you’ll need to complete several important tasks. These include getting a home inspection, securing homeowners insurance, submitting required paperwork to your lender, and confirming your closing date. You should also do a final walk-through of the property to ensure everything is in the agreed-upon condition. Additionally, you’ll need to prepare your funds—usually via wire transfer or cashier’s check—to cover your down payment and closing costs.

While the average time to close on a home is just over 40 days, things like title issues, low appraisals, or financing delays can push that timeline. The best way to avoid surprises is to stay organized and responsive throughout the process. With the right support and preparation, you’ll soon be celebrating in your new home, ready to start the next chapter.

When it comes to first-time homebuying, understanding what constitutes a “typical” down payment can make the process feel a lot more attainable. In 2024, the median down payment among first-time buyers was 9 percent of the purchase price—meaning on a $400,000 home, most newcomers put down about $36,000. However, loan programs tailored for first-timers often let you start with as little as 3 percent down, and government-backed options like VA or USDA loans may even require zero down.

Deciding on your down payment is all about weighing the trade-offs. A 20 percent down payment is considered ideal: it typically secures the lowest interest rates and lets you bypass private mortgage insurance (PMI) altogether. But given the median amortization patterns, very few first-timers reach that benchmark right out of the gate—only about one-third manage to save it, while the majority settle somewhere between 3 percent and 10 percent.

Putting down less than 20 percent has its own advantages. By starting with just 3 percent or 5 percent down, you’re able to enter the market sooner—locking in today’s prices before they climb further—while preserving cash for closing costs, moving expenses, and the small repairs that inevitably arise. Just keep in mind that any down payment under 20 percent brings PMI, which can add roughly $30–$70 per month for every $100,000 you borrow, and means higher monthly payments until you accrue enough equity.

The right “typical” down payment for you will hinge on your personal comfort level and long-term goals. If you can pull together 10 percent, you’ll strike a solid balance between a lower interest rate and retained reserves. If your priority is getting into a home quickly, a 3 percent or even zero-down option can make sense—knowing you can eliminate PMI once you hit 20 percent equity. Ready to crunch the numbers for your specific situation? Schedule a free consultation on our website, and we’ll help you determine the down payment strategy that fits your budget and goals.

A 3/1 adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) offers homebuyers a fixed interest rate for the first three years of their loan, followed by annual rate adjustments for the remaining term. During the initial three-year period, your monthly payments remain consistent, giving you the predictability of a traditional fixed-rate mortgage. After those introductory years, however, the interest rate can adjust once per year based on market indexes—such as Treasury yields or the Secured Overnight Financing Rate—plus a set margin determined by the lender.

Once the three-year fixed period ends, the annual rate adjustments are governed by caps that limit how much your interest rate can increase at each adjustment and over the life of the loan. For example, an initial adjustment cap might restrict your rate from rising more than 2 percentage points at the first change, while a periodic cap might cap future annual adjustments at 1 percentage point. A lifetime cap establishes the maximum interest rate you could ever be charged under this ARM, ensuring that, even if market rates spike dramatically, you’ll never pay beyond a specified ceiling.

There are several scenarios in which a 3/1 ARM may make sense. If you plan to sell or refinance within three to five years, you can take advantage of the lower introductory rate without worrying about long-term volatility. Similarly, if you anticipate a career change or relocation in the near future, the short fixed period allows you to maximize savings in the early years. On the flip side, borrowers should be comfortable with the possibility of higher payments after year three—if market rates rise, so will your monthly mortgage payment. It’s crucial to have a financial cushion or a plan in place to absorb potential increases.

Compared to a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, a 3/1 ARM typically starts with a lower rate, which can translate to significant upfront savings. However, it carries more uncertainty than a fixed-rate loan, especially if you keep the mortgage beyond the fixed period. If you value long-term stability and predictability, a fixed-rate option might be preferable. But for many buyers who intend to move or refinance before the rate adjusts, a 3/1 ARM can offer an attractive balance of lower initial costs and manageable risk. If you’d like to know more, schedule a consultation with us on our website.

Homeowners sometimes assume that today’s higher mortgage rates have slammed the door on refinancing, yet the truth is more nuanced. While the era of sub-3 percent loans is well behind us, national lending data show 30-year fixed rates have mostly hovered in the high-6 to low-7 percent range since 2023, with the occasional dip. If you locked in a loan closer to 8 percent during that spike—or if you have goals that go beyond trimming the rate—refinancing can still deliver meaningful value. The key is to weigh costs against long-term gains and be ready to act quickly when mini-reprieves in pricing appear.

One scenario where refinancing shines is when your personal finances have improved. Say you bought with minimal cash down and a mid-600 credit score at the tail end of 2022, landing a 7.35 percent rate. Two years later you’ve slashed debt, boosted your score into the 700s, and built more equity. Even a new loan in the mid-6 percent range could shave hundreds off your monthly payment and cancel expensive mortgage insurance—savings that compound over the life of the loan and can recoup closing costs in as little as 18–24 months.

Refinances also open strategic doors that aren’t strictly “rate plays.” Swapping an adjustable-rate mortgage before its teaser period ends can lock in stable payments, and converting an FHA loan to conventional financing can eliminate mortgage insurance altogether. For clients navigating a divorce or dissolving a business partnership, a refinance is the cleanest way to remove a co-borrower and tap equity for a buy-out in the same transaction—a move that protects credit profiles on both sides.

Finally, a cash-out refinance can be the most cost-effective route to large sums of capital, even when first-lien rates exceed six percent. Because primary-mortgage pricing is typically lower than home-equity loans or HELOCs, rolling renovation costs, tuition bills, or medical expenses into one fixed, predictable payment can make financial sense—especially if the existing mortgage balance is small or paid off. Before you move forward, calculate your break-even timeline, consider whether you’d refinance again if rates drop, and explore point-buy-downs that shorten payback periods.
Of course schedule a consultation with us on our website and we can see what best fits your needs.

A piggyback loan—often called an 80/10/10 or combination mortgage—is a clever way to buy a home with less cash up front. Instead of a single mortgage plus private mortgage insurance (PMI), you take out two loans at closing: one for 80 percent of the home’s value and a second for 10 percent. You then cover the remaining 10 percent with your own down payment. This structure lets you sidestep PMI, which can add hundreds to your monthly payment, and keeps your main mortgage under the conforming loan limit so you avoid the stricter requirements of a jumbo loan.

Beyond skipping PMI and jumbo-loan hurdles, piggyback loans let you stretch your cash reserves. In a standard 80/10/10 setup, you’re only putting 10 percent down instead of 20. Some lenders even offer an 80/15/5 arrangement, where you contribute just 5 percent and borrow 15 percent as your second mortgage. You can use either a fixed‐rate home equity loan or a home equity line of credit (HELOC) for that second piece, giving you flexibility in how you tap into additional funds without dipping into savings for closing costs or renovation projects.

Of course, there are trade-offs. Your second mortgage usually comes with a higher, sometimes variable interest rate, so your payment could rise if rates climb. You’ll also pay closing costs on both loans, which can eat into the savings you’d hoped to gain from avoiding PMI. And if you need to refinance down the road, juggling two separate lenders and loan products can complicate the process. It’s important to run the numbers carefully—compare combined payments and fees side by side with a single conventional or jumbo loan scenario.

If you’re intrigued by the piggyback strategy, start by shopping around for both primary and second-mortgage lenders. Look at interest rates, loan terms, and qualification standards, and be prepared to supply documentation for both applications at once. As you gather quotes, don’t forget to weigh low-down-payment alternatives, too: FHA programs require as little as 3.5 percent down, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s Conventional 97 loan needs only 3 percent, and VA loans offer zero-down financing for qualifying veterans. With a clear understanding of your options, you’ll be ready to choose the path that lets you move in sooner—without overextending your budget. And of course schedule a consultation with us on our website and we can review your specific situation.

When it comes to mortgage rates, you might wonder how much influence the Federal Reserve really has. While the Fed doesn’t directly set mortgage rates, its decisions significantly impact the borrowing environment for homeowners. Recently, the Fed chose to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 4.25–4.5 percent, signaling stability after several changes throughout 2024. This decision encourages lenders to keep mortgage rates relatively steady, which can offer some comfort to potential homebuyers.

Mortgage rates mainly track the yield on the 10-year Treasury bond rather than the Fed’s rate directly. When the Fed keeps rates unchanged, it can reassure bond markets, often leading to slightly lower Treasury yields and, consequently, more affordable mortgages. For instance, after the Fed’s recent announcement, the bond market responded positively, lowering the 10-year Treasury yield. This is great news if you’re considering buying a home soon, as it can mean lower monthly mortgage payments.

Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) are a bit more sensitive to Fed decisions. The interest rates on ARMs often follow financial benchmarks like the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR), which the Fed influences more directly. So, if the Fed decides to raise or lower its benchmark rate, ARM borrowers will typically see their interest rates adjust accordingly at their next reset period.

Ultimately, while the Federal Reserve’s actions set the stage, several other factors also influence mortgage rates—including inflation, the demand for mortgages, and investor interest in mortgage-backed securities. To secure the best mortgage rate, maintain a strong credit score, reduce your debt, save up for a sizable down payment, and always compare loan offers by looking closely at the APR, not just the advertised interest rate. Doing this ensures you’ll get the best possible deal, no matter what the Fed decides next.

Inheriting a home with an outstanding mortgage can be a springboard to new opportunities rather than a source of anxiety. By gathering the loan statements, confirming the servicer’s details, and keeping payments current, you safeguard the property while the estate is settled and gain precious time to weigh your best options. Reviewing the loan’s balance, interest rate, and payment schedule—ideally alongside an estate-planning attorney—equips you with clarity and confidence, ensuring the process stays smooth and compliant with state-specific rules.

Armed with the numbers, heirs can choose a path that turns the property into an asset. Thanks to federal protections, relatives who wish to live in—or rent out—the home can assume the loan without triggering a costly due-on-sale clause. If several heirs are involved, one party can finance a buy-out (via a probate loan or cash-out refinance) so everyone benefits fairly. Alternatively, selling the property often yields a “step-up” in tax basis, letting your clients capture equity with little or no capital-gains liability—cash that can fund new dreams, investments, or charitable gifts.

Even homes covered by a reverse mortgage come with encouraging solutions. Lenders provide a six-month window—extendable up to a year—to repay the balance through refinancing, a 95 percent value sale, or a deed-in-lieu that erases remaining debt. Throughout that period, maintaining taxes, insurance, and basic upkeep not only preserves the property’s value but also keeps every option open. When handled proactively, heirs can transform what feels like a ticking clock into a flexible timeline for smart financial decisions.

Finally, an “underwater” mortgage doesn’t have to sink your plans. Many reverse and other non-recourse loans limit the lender’s remedy to the property itself, paving the way for a strategic short sale or deed-in-lieu that protects personal assets. And if no will exists, swift legal guidance ensures the right heirs are recognized and empowered. By partnering with an experienced mortgage professional early, families convert a potentially stressful inheritance into a positive, wealth-building milestone—fulfilling the loved one’s legacy while opening doors to their own bright future.